Scouting Report
Olli Jokinen holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 45.6% vs Jokinen 46.8% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 74.7%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 60.5%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 51.5%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Nielsen
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Nielsen
Jokinen
Last 5: Nielsen 5-0 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Jokinen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
4
0
Nielsen
Jokinen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (906)
46.8% (1,017)
-1.2%
Power Play
62.2% (45)
47.6% (185)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
39.6% (192)
40.7% (113)
-1.1%
On power play, Nielsen has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Nielsen is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Nielsen shoots left. Jokinen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Jokinen
Home
45.6% (581)
47.1% (652)
Away
44.9% (575)
46.0% (681)
By Period
Nielsen
Jokinen
P1
47.0%
43.8%
P2
44.0%
49.5%
P3
44.9%
44.6%
OT
42.9%
68.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 03:04 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 01:11 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |