Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.2% vs Jokinen 42.8% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 66.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 88.3%
Neutral zone
Beagle 82.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Beagle
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Beagle
Jokinen
Last 9: Beagle 6-3 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Jokinen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Beagle
Jokinen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
1
Beagle
Jokinen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (284)
40.4% (275)
+17.7%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
50.0% (14)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (97)
39.0% (41)
+13.6%
On even strength, Beagle has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Beagle is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Beagle shoots right. Jokinen is 35.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Beagle
Jokinen
Home
57.9% (183)
37.9% (145)
Away
55.2% (201)
42.7% (185)
By Period
Beagle
Jokinen
P1
54.7%
48.2%
P2
62.1%
38.5%
P3
50.9%
34.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.5%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2015 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 11:45 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |