Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.3% vs Jokinen 46.3% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 64.9%
Defensive zone
Duchene 68.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 68.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Duchene
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Duchene
Jokinen
Last 10: Duchene 6-4 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
3
Duchene
Jokinen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
7
1
Duchene
Jokinen
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (933)
45.3% (1,142)
+4.1%
Power Play
58.7% (104)
53.4% (131)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
43.9% (57)
+3.7%
On power play, Duchene has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Duchene shoots left. Jokinen is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Duchene
Jokinen
Home
51.9% (534)
48.8% (692)
Away
48.7% (524)
42.9% (638)
By Period
Duchene
Jokinen
P1
51.0%
44.9%
P2
48.8%
45.7%
P3
50.6%
46.9%
OT
57.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.3%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2014 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 2 | 15:41 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 12, 2013 | OT | 01:38 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 12, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 10:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |