Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Backlund wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 47.7% vs Jokinen 46.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 54.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 66.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 61.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Backlund
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Backlund
Jokinen
Last 6: Backlund 4-2 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Backlund
Jokinen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
1
Backlund
Jokinen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Jokinen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (1,002)
45.3% (1,142)
+1.9%
Power Play
46.7% (150)
53.4% (131)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (170)
43.9% (57)
+6.1%
On power play, Jokinen has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Backlund is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Backlund shoots left. Jokinen is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Backlund
Jokinen
Home
48.3% (633)
48.8% (692)
Away
46.7% (689)
42.9% (638)
By Period
Backlund
Jokinen
P1
49.2%
44.9%
P2
48.9%
45.7%
P3
45.4%
46.9%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.5%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 11:52 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 00:40 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 15:19 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |