Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +19.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jokinen wins 35.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 42.8% vs Bergeron 59.7% (-19.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 71.7%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 67.4%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 73.2%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Jokinen
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Jokinen
Bergeron
Last 9: Jokinen 3-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Jokinen
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
1
Jokinen
Bergeron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Jokinen
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (275)
60.5% (1,394)
-20.1%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
64.0% (300)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (41)
53.7% (255)
-14.7%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Jokinen is 35.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Jokinen shoots left. Bergeron is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,235).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Bergeron
Home
37.9% (145)
62.0% (949)
Away
42.7% (185)
58.6% (1,002)
By Period
Jokinen
Bergeron
P1
48.2%
59.2%
P2
38.5%
63.9%
P3
34.7%
57.0%
OT
33.3%
68.6%
Final 5 min
40.5%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.6%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |