Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Jokinen wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.8% vs Koivu 52.2% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 90.3%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 79.2%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 81.8%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Jokinen
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
14
(19 meetings)
5
14
Jokinen
Koivu
Last 10: Jokinen 2-8 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
4
0
Jokinen
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
7
Jokinen
Koivu
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
7
Jokinen
Koivu
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (1,017)
52.2% (805)
-5.4%
Power Play
47.6% (185)
59.9% (152)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (113)
49.0% (239)
-8.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Jokinen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Jokinen shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Koivu
Home
47.1% (652)
54.0% (639)
Away
46.0% (681)
50.7% (594)
By Period
Jokinen
Koivu
P1
43.8%
52.7%
P2
49.5%
50.4%
P3
44.6%
54.1%
OT
68.0%
47.8%
Final 5 min
45.1%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.5%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 14:55 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 1 | 05:41 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2012 | OT | 02:59 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 1 | 06:44 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |