Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 46.4%). Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Jokinen wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.4% vs Matthias 46.6% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 22-18 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 57.3%
Defensive zone
Matthias 56.2%
Neutral zone
Matthias 50.3%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Jokinen
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
18
(40 meetings)
22
18
Jokinen
Matthias
Last 10: Jokinen 7-3 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
7
2
Jokinen
Matthias
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
4
6
Jokinen
Matthias
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
11
10
Jokinen
Matthias
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (3,924)
46.4% (1,716)
-0.6%
Power Play
50.8% (585)
56.3% (103)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (247)
41.7% (175)
+1.2%
On power play, Matthias has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Jokinen shoots left. Matthias is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,275).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Matthias
Home
47.4% (2,345)
46.9% (933)
Away
45.3% (2,443)
45.9% (1,069)
By Period
Jokinen
Matthias
P1
45.6%
47.8%
P2
47.5%
49.4%
P3
45.4%
41.6%
OT
56.1%
45.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2014 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 3 | 11:17 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 10:16 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 05:15 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 1 | 08:50 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 13:13 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 04:44 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |