Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.3% vs Crosby 52.4% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 90.9%
Defensive zone
Crosby 69.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 83.1%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
Jokinen
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Jokinen
Crosby
Last 7: Jokinen 5-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jokinen
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
4
0
Jokinen
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Jokinen
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,142)
50.9% (1,345)
-5.6%
Power Play
53.4% (131)
59.5% (439)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
44.7% (103)
-0.8%
On power play, Crosby has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Jokinen is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Jokinen shoots left. Crosby is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,180).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Crosby
Home
48.8% (692)
53.9% (941)
Away
42.9% (638)
51.2% (946)
By Period
Jokinen
Crosby
P1
44.9%
49.3%
P2
45.7%
54.5%
P3
46.9%
53.9%
OT
60.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
44.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2014 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |