Scouting Report
Olli Jokinen holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Jokinen wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.4% vs Gionta 41.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 90.3%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 70.5%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 78.7%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Jokinen
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Jokinen
Gionta
Last 7: Jokinen 6-1 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
4
1
Jokinen
Gionta
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
0
Jokinen
Gionta
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (3,924)
40.6% (1,902)
+5.2%
Power Play
50.8% (585)
61.5% (26)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (247)
40.1% (292)
+2.8%
On power play, Gionta has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Jokinen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,548).
Jokinen shoots left. Gionta is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,514).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Gionta
Home
47.4% (2,345)
42.6% (1,074)
Away
45.3% (2,443)
39.1% (1,147)
By Period
Jokinen
Gionta
P1
45.6%
40.8%
P2
47.5%
41.8%
P3
45.4%
39.8%
OT
56.1%
35.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 16:17 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 17:48 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |