Scouting Report
Stephen Weiss holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Weiss on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jokinen wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Weiss shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.8% vs Weiss 53.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 72.2%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 69.9%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 70.0%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Jokinen
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Jokinen
Weiss
Last 8: Jokinen 2-6 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
1
2
Jokinen
Weiss
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jokinen
Weiss
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weiss
0
3
Jokinen
Weiss
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (1,017)
53.3% (1,038)
-6.5%
Power Play
47.6% (185)
55.6% (268)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (113)
45.4% (119)
-4.7%
On power play, Weiss has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Jokinen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Jokinen shoots left. Weiss is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (955).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Weiss
Home
47.1% (652)
55.2% (764)
Away
46.0% (681)
50.9% (705)
By Period
Jokinen
Weiss
P1
43.8%
55.7%
P2
49.5%
52.3%
P3
44.6%
53.0%
OT
68.0%
35.1%
Final 5 min
45.1%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.5%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 17:18 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 04:26 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |