Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.3% vs Ott 53.5% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 70.8%
Defensive zone
Ott 88.5%
Neutral zone
Ott 80.4%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Jokinen
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Jokinen
Ott
Last 9: Jokinen 6-3 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
4
2
Jokinen
Ott
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
0
Jokinen
Ott
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Jokinen
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,142)
55.6% (583)
-10.3%
Power Play
53.4% (131)
57.0% (128)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
47.1% (206)
-3.2%
On even strength, Ott has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Jokinen is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Jokinen shoots left. Ott is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Ott
Home
48.8% (692)
54.1% (512)
Away
42.9% (638)
53.6% (405)
By Period
Jokinen
Ott
P1
44.9%
53.3%
P2
45.7%
52.8%
P3
46.9%
56.1%
OT
60.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.0%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2014 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 02:28 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |