Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Jokinen wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.4% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 62.1%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 63.6%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 62.3%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Jokinen
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Jokinen
Stamkos
Last 10: Jokinen 2-8 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
0
Jokinen
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
5
Jokinen
Stamkos
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
6
Jokinen
Stamkos
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (3,924)
50.4% (9,711)
-4.6%
Power Play
50.8% (585)
55.1% (1,709)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (247)
49.7% (819)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Jokinen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,548).
Jokinen shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Stamkos
Home
47.4% (2,345)
52.7% (6,198)
Away
45.3% (2,443)
49.2% (6,067)
By Period
Jokinen
Stamkos
P1
45.6%
49.1%
P2
47.5%
52.8%
P3
45.4%
50.8%
OT
56.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 11:10 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:50 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 14:30 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 14:15 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 15, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |