Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 46.6%). Look for Pyatt on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jokinen wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Pyatt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.4% vs Pyatt 46.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 69.8%
Defensive zone
Pyatt 60.3%
Neutral zone
Pyatt 54.4%
Result
Tom Pyatt favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Jokinen
Pyatt
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jokinen
Pyatt
Last 5: Jokinen 2-3 Pyatt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
0
Jokinen
Pyatt
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pyatt
0
1
Jokinen
Pyatt
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pyatt
1
2
Jokinen
Pyatt
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Pyatt
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (3,924)
47.2% (922)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.8% (585)
55.0% (20)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (247)
42.0% (174)
+0.9%
On power play, Pyatt has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pyatt shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Jokinen shoots left. Pyatt is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Pyatt
Home
47.4% (2,345)
48.0% (598)
Away
45.3% (2,443)
45.0% (524)
By Period
Jokinen
Pyatt
P1
45.6%
47.1%
P2
47.5%
47.6%
P3
45.4%
45.2%
OT
56.1%
41.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Pyatt
34.0%▼
36.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 13:46 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Tom Pyatt |