Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Jokinen wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 47.6% vs Plekanec 50.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 57.8%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 77.5%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 69.2%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Jokinen
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Jokinen
Plekanec
Last 6: Jokinen 4-2 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
0
Jokinen
Plekanec
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Jokinen
Plekanec
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
0
Jokinen
Plekanec
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (924)
51.0% (1,016)
-4.6%
Power Play
51.3% (197)
49.0% (206)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (31)
46.3% (307)
+2.1%
On even strength, Plekanec has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Jokinen is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Jokinen shoots left. Plekanec is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (945).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Plekanec
Home
47.1% (537)
53.3% (836)
Away
47.6% (628)
46.2% (741)
By Period
Jokinen
Plekanec
P1
45.3%
54.4%
P2
49.9%
44.5%
P3
46.5%
50.4%
OT
53.3%
68.2%
Final 5 min
46.6%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
47.4%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |