Scouting Report
Trevor Smith holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jokinen wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.4% vs Smith 48.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 73.6%
Defensive zone
Smith 52.1%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 60.2%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Jokinen
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jokinen
Smith
Last 5: Jokinen 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Jokinen
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Jokinen
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (3,924)
49.0% (769)
-3.2%
Power Play
50.8% (585)
63.6% (22)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (247)
42.4% (118)
+0.5%
On power play, Smith has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Jokinen shoots left. Smith is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Smith
Home
47.4% (2,345)
52.4% (490)
Away
45.3% (2,443)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Jokinen
Smith
P1
45.6%
46.9%
P2
47.5%
51.2%
P3
45.4%
47.7%
OT
56.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 11:01 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |