Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (66% H2H, 29 meetings). Jokinen wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.4% vs Bozak 53.4% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 48-29 in 77 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 82.7%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 90.5%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 83.9%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Jokinen
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
48
(77 meetings)
29
48
Jokinen
Bozak
Last 10: Jokinen 2-8 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
8
16
Jokinen
Bozak
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
11
13
Jokinen
Bozak
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
10
19
Jokinen
Bozak
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (3,924)
53.7% (9,596)
-7.9%
Power Play
50.8% (585)
55.2% (1,990)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (247)
48.0% (1,094)
-5.1%
On even strength, Bozak has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Jokinen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,548).
Jokinen shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Bozak
Home
47.4% (2,345)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
45.3% (2,443)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Jokinen
Bozak
P1
45.6%
53.2%
P2
47.5%
52.8%
P3
45.4%
54.5%
OT
56.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
45.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |