Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Jokinen wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.3% vs Bozak 48.8% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 61.7%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 57.0%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 61.0%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Jokinen
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Jokinen
Bozak
Last 10: Jokinen 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
6
Jokinen
Bozak
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Jokinen
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
0
Jokinen
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,142)
48.8% (1,036)
-3.5%
Power Play
53.4% (131)
53.8% (225)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
39.1% (138)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Jokinen is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Jokinen shoots left. Bozak is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Bozak
Home
48.8% (692)
50.8% (608)
Away
42.9% (638)
47.0% (791)
By Period
Jokinen
Bozak
P1
44.9%
48.0%
P2
45.7%
48.1%
P3
46.9%
49.8%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |