Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jokinen wins 35.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 42.8% vs Bozak 53.0% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 84.7%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 80.4%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 79.8%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Jokinen
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Jokinen
Bozak
Last 7: Jokinen 0-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Jokinen
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Jokinen
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (275)
53.8% (1,244)
-13.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
53.1% (356)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (41)
49.1% (175)
-10.1%
On even strength, Bozak has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Jokinen is 35.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Jokinen shoots left. Bozak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,145).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Bozak
Home
37.9% (145)
57.7% (892)
Away
42.7% (185)
48.6% (883)
By Period
Jokinen
Bozak
P1
48.2%
54.0%
P2
38.5%
54.4%
P3
34.7%
51.0%
OT
33.3%
56.4%
Final 5 min
40.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |