Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jokinen wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.4% vs Seguin 53.6% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 73.5%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 82.3%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 79.8%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Jokinen
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Jokinen
Seguin
Last 10: Jokinen 3-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Jokinen
Seguin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
4
Jokinen
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
4
6
Jokinen
Seguin
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (3,924)
53.7% (8,071)
-7.9%
Power Play
50.8% (585)
55.9% (810)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (247)
49.3% (762)
-6.4%
On even strength, Seguin has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Jokinen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,548).
Jokinen shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Seguin
Home
47.4% (2,345)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
45.3% (2,443)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Jokinen
Seguin
P1
45.6%
52.8%
P2
47.5%
53.3%
P3
45.4%
54.7%
OT
56.1%
54.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 05:43 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 00:44 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 12:58 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 14:24 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 03:28 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 2 | 18:43 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |