Scouting Report
Olli Jokinen holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Jokinen wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.3% vs Seguin 42.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 60.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 57.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 59.5%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Jokinen
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Jokinen
Seguin
Last 10: Jokinen 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Jokinen
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Jokinen
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
4
6
Jokinen
Seguin
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,142)
41.1% (649)
+4.2%
Power Play
53.4% (131)
54.2% (24)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
25.0% (4)
+18.9%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Jokinen is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Jokinen shoots left. Seguin is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Seguin
Home
48.8% (692)
44.4% (338)
Away
42.9% (638)
38.6% (339)
By Period
Jokinen
Seguin
P1
44.9%
37.8%
P2
45.7%
45.5%
P3
46.9%
41.9%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2014 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 00:44 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 12:58 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 14:24 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 03:28 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 2 | 18:43 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |