Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.3% vs Sobotka 60.6% (-15.9%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Sobotka 77.5%
Defensive zone
Sobotka 80.8%
Neutral zone
Sobotka 82.9%
Result
Vladimir Sobotka favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
Jokinen
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Jokinen
Sobotka
Last 10: Jokinen 6-4 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
0
Jokinen
Sobotka
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
2
3
Jokinen
Sobotka
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jokinen
Sobotka
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,142)
62.0% (637)
-16.7%
Power Play
53.4% (131)
62.6% (91)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
60.0% (85)
-16.1%
On even strength, Sobotka has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Jokinen is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Jokinen shoots left. Sobotka is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Sobotka
Home
48.8% (692)
65.8% (371)
Away
42.9% (638)
58.6% (442)
By Period
Jokinen
Sobotka
P1
44.9%
63.0%
P2
45.7%
61.4%
P3
46.9%
60.7%
OT
60.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
64.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.0%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2014 | 3 | 15:59 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 18, 2013 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 18, 2013 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 18, 2013 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |