Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 50.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 51.1% vs Bäck 50.5% (+0.5%)
Offensive zone
Bäck 51.1%
Defensive zone
Gustafsson 63.8%
Neutral zone
Bäck 50.3%
Result
David Gustafsson favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Gustafsson
Bäck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
Bäck
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (623)
54.8% (186)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
31.7% (41)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Gustafsson has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bäck shoots left. Gustafsson is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Gustafsson shoots left. Bäck is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
Bäck
Home
52.1% (363)
52.4% (103)
Away
50.3% (326)
49.2% (124)
By Period
Gustafsson
Bäck
P1
57.7%
51.5%
P2
45.8%
50.0%
P3
50.2%
50.8%
Final 5 min
54.7%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
51.2%
Bäck
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.7%