Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Sundqvist 44.3% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 97.7%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 62.9%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 84.9%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Tkachuk
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Tkachuk
Sundqvist
Last 6: Tkachuk 5-1 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Sundqvist
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Sundqvist
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Sundqvist
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
46.8% (154)
-1.4%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
0.0% (7)
+53.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
14.3% (21)
+85.7%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +85.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Tkachuk is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Tkachuk shoots left. Sundqvist is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Sundqvist
Home
51.1% (233)
42.3% (97)
Away
49.0% (202)
40.0% (85)
By Period
Tkachuk
Sundqvist
P1
42.9%
46.0%
P2
52.2%
45.9%
P3
53.7%
32.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |