Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.8% vs Sundqvist 46.0% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 58.1%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 63.8%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 63.2%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Koivu
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Koivu
Sundqvist
Last 8: Koivu 3-5 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
Sundqvist
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
3
Koivu
Sundqvist
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (592)
44.0% (209)
+9.9%
Power Play
54.2% (96)
83.3% (6)
-29.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (123)
36.4% (22)
+12.4%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Koivu is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Koivu shoots left. Sundqvist is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Koivu
Sundqvist
Home
52.8% (386)
41.2% (114)
Away
53.4% (425)
47.2% (123)
By Period
Koivu
Sundqvist
P1
51.7%
42.9%
P2
54.8%
51.5%
P3
53.3%
36.4%
Final 5 min
53.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.1%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 01:47 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |