Nathan MacKinnon vs Oskar Sundqvist
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Sundqvist 43.1% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 84.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 53.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 59.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
MacKinnon
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
MacKinnon
Sundqvist
Last 7: MacKinnon 5-2 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
0
MacKinnon
Sundqvist
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
2
MacKinnon
Sundqvist
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
41.3% (492)
+4.2%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
56.3% (16)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
43.2% (81)
-3.2%
On even strength, MacKinnon has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
MacKinnon shoots right. Sundqvist is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Sundqvist
Home
47.8% (670)
43.3% (275)
Away
44.6% (644)
40.8% (314)
By Period
MacKinnon
Sundqvist
P1
45.3%
43.3%
P2
48.5%
41.8%
P3
45.0%
40.1%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |