Nathan MacKinnon vs Oskar Sundqvist

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nathan MacKinnon holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 49.9% vs Sundqvist 46.1% (+4.4%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone MacKinnon 84.6%
Defensive zone MacKinnon 50.8%
Neutral zone MacKinnon 60.2%
Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
MacKinnon Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 2 (8 meetings)
6
2
MacKinnon Sundqvist
Last 8: MacKinnon 6-2 Sundqvist

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
0
MacKinnon Sundqvist
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
2
MacKinnon Sundqvist
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon Sundqvist
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
MacKinnon
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
45.0% (500)
+4.2%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
54.5% (22)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
46.0% (50)
+3.1%
On even strength, MacKinnon has a +4.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (414).
MacKinnon shoots right. Sundqvist is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Sundqvist
Home
50.9% (740)
45.5% (255)
Away
49.0% (774)
45.4% (317)
By Period
MacKinnon
Sundqvist
P1
50.9%
40.9%
P2
51.8%
46.9%
P3
47.1%
48.4%
OT
58.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
49.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
49.9%
Sundqvist
44.0%
49.5%
45.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 5, 2025 1 01:32 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 29, 2025 2 06:35 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 29, 2025 2 06:28 Defensive Oskar Sundqvist
Mar 29, 2025 1 14:03 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 29, 2025 1 08:46 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 29, 2025 1 06:01 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 23, 2025 3 18:01 Defensive Oskar Sundqvist
Feb 23, 2025 1 11:32 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon