Nathan MacKinnon vs Oskar Sundqvist
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Sundqvist 44.3% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 20-7 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 89.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 60.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 68.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
MacKinnon
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
7
(27 meetings)
20
7
MacKinnon
Sundqvist
Last 10: MacKinnon 8-2 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
10
1
MacKinnon
Sundqvist
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
3
5
MacKinnon
Sundqvist
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
7
1
MacKinnon
Sundqvist
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
44.2% (2,842)
+1.9%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
51.0% (98)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
41.6% (385)
+1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
MacKinnon shoots right. Sundqvist is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Sundqvist
Home
49.7% (6,444)
44.2% (1,584)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
44.0% (1,741)
By Period
MacKinnon
Sundqvist
P1
47.4%
42.8%
P2
46.6%
45.6%
P3
46.1%
43.7%
OT
48.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |