Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Sundqvist wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 43.2% vs Stastny 54.2% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 85.0%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 76.1%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 80.0%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Sundqvist
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Sundqvist
Stastny
Last 10: Sundqvist 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
4
Sundqvist
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Sundqvist
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Sundqvist
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (509)
52.8% (657)
-9.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
61.0% (118)
-61.0%
Penalty Kill
23.3% (30)
61.1% (72)
-37.8%
On power play, Stastny has a +61.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Sundqvist is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Sundqvist shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Stastny
Home
41.7% (252)
53.0% (464)
Away
42.2% (289)
56.7% (383)
By Period
Sundqvist
Stastny
P1
42.4%
47.9%
P2
43.8%
59.6%
P3
39.1%
54.9%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
35.5%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
42.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2019 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 3 | 09:35 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |