Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sundqvist wins 35.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 45.9% vs Gagner 48.1% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 78.1%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 70.2%
Neutral zone
Gagner 62.5%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Sundqvist
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sundqvist
Gagner
Last 5: Sundqvist 3-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Sundqvist
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
3
1
Sundqvist
Gagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (296)
47.3% (395)
-1.7%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
50.0% (62)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
50.0% (4)
-13.2%
On power play, Gagner has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Sundqvist is 35.5% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Sundqvist shoots right. Gagner is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Gagner
Home
46.7% (184)
49.4% (267)
Away
41.7% (139)
45.4% (194)
By Period
Sundqvist
Gagner
P1
40.4%
47.5%
P2
47.4%
48.5%
P3
46.3%
48.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |