Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sundqvist wins 35.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 45.9% vs Bozak 53.3% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 52.8%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 84.9%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 70.9%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Sundqvist
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sundqvist
Bozak
Last 5: Sundqvist 1-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sundqvist
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Sundqvist
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (296)
53.6% (977)
-8.0%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
52.2% (186)
-27.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
100.0% (6)
-63.2%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +63.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Sundqvist is 35.5% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Sundqvist shoots right. Bozak is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Bozak
Home
46.7% (184)
55.4% (583)
Away
41.7% (139)
51.9% (586)
By Period
Sundqvist
Bozak
P1
40.4%
51.9%
P2
47.4%
51.1%
P3
46.3%
57.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 14:52 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |