Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.3% vs Lindholm 46.9% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 65.7%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 90.0%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 77.1%
Result
Par Lindholm favored at 82.6%
17.4%
82.6%
Duchene
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Duchene
Lindholm
Last 5: Duchene 0-5 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Duchene
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
3
Duchene
Lindholm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Duchene
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (579)
47.2% (231)
+8.8%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
66.7% (6)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
37.3% (51)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Duchene shoots left. Lindholm is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Duchene
Lindholm
Home
54.9% (375)
40.5% (158)
Away
57.5% (320)
52.3% (130)
By Period
Duchene
Lindholm
P1
58.3%
34.1%
P2
56.7%
51.0%
P3
53.1%
51.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.1%
Lindholm
42.0%▼
45.5%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 10:15 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Par Lindholm |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 13:53 | Neutral | Par Lindholm |