Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.8% vs Lindholm 46.9% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 57.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 73.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 60.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Dowd
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dowd
Lindholm
Last 6: Dowd 4-2 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Lindholm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
2
Dowd
Lindholm
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (379)
47.2% (231)
+3.5%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
66.7% (6)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (157)
37.3% (51)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots left. Dowd is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Dowd shoots right. Lindholm is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Dowd
Lindholm
Home
53.7% (244)
40.5% (158)
Away
46.6% (307)
52.3% (130)
By Period
Dowd
Lindholm
P1
53.6%
34.1%
P2
44.1%
51.0%
P3
51.9%
51.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Lindholm
42.0%▼
45.5%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Par Lindholm |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Par Lindholm |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |