Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 48.8% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 89.3%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 50.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 66.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Last 7: Lindholm 4-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Lindholm
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (510)
56.2% (15,103)
-6.6%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
58.7% (3,395)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (178)
51.6% (2,769)
-6.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lindholm is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Lindholm shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,728).
Home / Away
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Home
49.4% (346)
57.6% (10,669)
Away
47.7% (354)
54.4% (10,631)
By Period
Lindholm
O'Reilly
P1
42.2%
55.5%
P2
51.0%
57.0%
P3
51.9%
55.2%
Final 5 min
46.8%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
42.0%▼
45.5%
48.6%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Par Lindholm |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Par Lindholm |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 16:22 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 18:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |