Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 50.1% vs O'Reilly 56.5% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 66.1%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 78.0%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 60.5%
Result
Par Lindholm favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Last 5: Lindholm 2-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Lindholm
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Lindholm
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (274)
57.1% (1,367)
-6.0%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
59.4% (286)
-26.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (127)
52.5% (257)
-3.7%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lindholm is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Lindholm shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,201).
Home / Away
Lindholm
O'Reilly
Home
56.3% (183)
59.2% (936)
Away
45.1% (224)
54.6% (974)
By Period
Lindholm
O'Reilly
P1
47.7%
57.3%
P2
51.0%
57.5%
P3
51.5%
55.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
42.0%▼
45.5%
50.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 16:22 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 18:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |