Scouting Report
Par Lindholm holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 50.1% vs Aho 48.7% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 82.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 76.1%
Neutral zone
Aho 55.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Lindholm
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lindholm
Aho
Last 5: Lindholm 1-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Lindholm
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Lindholm
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (274)
47.4% (953)
+3.7%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
58.0% (174)
-24.7%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (127)
41.6% (77)
+7.2%
On power play, Aho has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Lindholm is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Lindholm shoots left. Aho is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Aho
Home
56.3% (183)
50.2% (609)
Away
45.1% (224)
46.9% (595)
By Period
Lindholm
Aho
P1
47.7%
48.7%
P2
51.0%
50.2%
P3
51.5%
47.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
42.0%▼
45.5%
50.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 13:31 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |