Scouting Report
Adam Gaudette holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 50.2% vs Kelly 43.9% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 81.3%
Defensive zone
Kelly 81.6%
Neutral zone
Kelly 55.6%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Gaudette
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Gaudette
Kelly
Last 6: Gaudette 3-3 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Kelly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Kelly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
2
Gaudette
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (338)
44.8% (556)
+5.2%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
0.0% (2)
+58.3%
On power play, Gaudette has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Gaudette is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Gaudette shoots right. Kelly is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Kelly
Home
54.4% (206)
44.8% (368)
Away
44.4% (144)
41.0% (334)
By Period
Gaudette
Kelly
P1
49.2%
46.7%
P2
50.4%
48.0%
P3
51.6%
34.8%
Final 5 min
49.5%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |