Scouting Report
Kyle MacLean holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). MacLean wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 48.5% vs Kelly 43.9% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 87.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 55.1%
Neutral zone
MacLean 76.5%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
MacLean
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
MacLean
Kelly
Last 8: MacLean 5-3 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
MacLean
Kelly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacLean
Kelly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
4
1
MacLean
Kelly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (540)
44.8% (556)
+2.8%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
0.0% (2)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
60.9% (23)
36.8% (144)
+24.1%
On power play, MacLean has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. MacLean is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (368).
MacLean shoots left. Kelly is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Home / Away
MacLean
Kelly
Home
47.6% (273)
44.8% (368)
Away
48.8% (293)
41.0% (334)
By Period
MacLean
Kelly
P1
45.5%
46.7%
P2
48.8%
48.0%
P3
50.0%
34.8%
Final 5 min
59.5%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.2%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |