Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 53.7% vs Bergeron 59.6% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 60.6%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 86.3%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 84.2%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
Shaw
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Shaw
Bergeron
Last 6: Shaw 4-2 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
0
Shaw
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Shaw
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (336)
62.5% (1,254)
-6.2%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
60.1% (303)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
48.2% (255)
-31.5%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Shaw is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Shaw shoots right. Bergeron is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (642).
Home / Away
Shaw
Bergeron
Home
58.1% (234)
62.2% (902)
Away
50.5% (204)
58.0% (910)
By Period
Shaw
Bergeron
P1
53.8%
59.6%
P2
58.3%
60.4%
P3
52.0%
60.2%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.6%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2017 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 12, 2016 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 12, 2016 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 12, 2016 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 12, 2016 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |