Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyes wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 44.3% vs Bergeron 56.2% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 85.1%
Defensive zone
Boyes 64.0%
Neutral zone
Boyes 77.8%
Result
Brad Boyes favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Boyes
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Boyes
Bergeron
Last 6: Boyes 1-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
1
0
Boyes
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Boyes
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Boyes
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (252)
57.3% (1,041)
-15.2%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
60.4% (149)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
51.3% (234)
-1.3%
On power play, Bergeron has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Boyes is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Boyes shoots right. Bergeron is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Boyes
Bergeron
Home
45.7% (164)
59.8% (682)
Away
39.1% (156)
53.8% (757)
By Period
Boyes
Bergeron
P1
47.5%
58.2%
P2
39.5%
58.1%
P3
39.4%
54.5%
OT
100.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
32.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
42.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 08:54 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 04:43 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |