Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyes wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 53.8% vs Bergeron 59.7% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 81.4%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 58.9%
Neutral zone
Boyes 62.1%
Result
Brad Boyes favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Boyes
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Boyes
Bergeron
Last 6: Boyes 2-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
2
0
Boyes
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Boyes
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Boyes
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (124)
60.5% (1,394)
-8.9%
Power Play
71.4% (42)
64.0% (300)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
53.7% (255)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Boyes is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Boyes shoots right. Bergeron is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (716).
Home / Away
Boyes
Bergeron
Home
54.8% (93)
62.0% (949)
Away
57.5% (80)
58.6% (1,002)
By Period
Boyes
Bergeron
P1
60.0%
59.2%
P2
58.7%
63.9%
P3
47.4%
57.0%
OT
100.0%
68.6%
Final 5 min
59.6%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2015 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 15:21 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |