Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings). Boyes wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 47.9% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 24-5 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyes 93.0%
Defensive zone
Boyes 95.2%
Neutral zone
Boyes 96.8%
Result
Brad Boyes favored at 95.4%
95.4%
4.6%
Boyes
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
24
(29 meetings)
5
24
Boyes
Bergeron
Last 10: Boyes 4-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
4
3
Boyes
Bergeron
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
8
Boyes
Bergeron
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
13
Boyes
Bergeron
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (692)
60.1% (13,938)
-14.1%
Power Play
56.5% (147)
60.8% (3,213)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
53.0% (2,776)
-19.7%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Boyes is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Boyes shoots right. Bergeron is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (6,685).
Home / Away
Boyes
Bergeron
Home
49.9% (419)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
45.5% (440)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Boyes
Bergeron
P1
50.4%
59.3%
P2
46.4%
60.0%
P3
44.8%
58.6%
OT
87.5%
57.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2015 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 15:21 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 12:22 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 16:39 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 13:47 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 05:08 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |