Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Howden wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 47.6% vs Bergeron 61.3% (-15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 53.2%
Defensive zone
Howden 74.2%
Neutral zone
Howden 74.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Howden
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Howden
Bergeron
Last 9: Howden 3-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
5
Howden
Bergeron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (191)
60.7% (760)
-11.0%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
70.9% (230)
-28.0%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (48)
57.3% (157)
-21.9%
On power play, Bergeron has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Howden is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Howden shoots left. Bergeron is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Howden
Bergeron
Home
42.8% (138)
64.4% (567)
Away
51.3% (115)
60.2% (580)
By Period
Howden
Bergeron
P1
47.9%
63.8%
P2
49.4%
58.6%
P3
43.3%
63.9%
Final 5 min
45.7%
63.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
46.6%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 1 | 15:27 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 3 | 05:49 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 10, 2021 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 10, 2021 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Brett Howden |