Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Howden wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 62.8%
Defensive zone
Howden 75.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 78.3%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Howden
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Howden
Bergeron
Last 7: Howden 2-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
4
Howden
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (282)
63.8% (1,102)
-15.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
65.3% (288)
-65.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
47.6% (210)
-10.1%
On power play, Bergeron has a +65.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Howden is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Howden shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Howden
Bergeron
Home
52.6% (173)
62.5% (882)
Away
41.5% (118)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Howden
Bergeron
P1
51.6%
62.5%
P2
37.1%
62.7%
P3
55.3%
60.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.1%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |