Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Helm wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 49.2% vs Bergeron 58.1% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Helm 86.2%
Defensive zone
Helm 88.2%
Neutral zone
Helm 92.8%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 90.6%
90.6%
9.4%
Helm
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Helm
Bergeron
Last 10: Helm 2-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Helm
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Helm
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
7
Helm
Bergeron
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (438)
59.4% (1,274)
-11.0%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
57.5% (193)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (80)
55.5% (265)
-6.7%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Helm is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (193).
Helm shoots left. Bergeron is 59.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,119).
Home / Away
Helm
Bergeron
Home
47.1% (276)
61.9% (837)
Away
51.1% (272)
55.5% (895)
By Period
Helm
Bergeron
P1
47.9%
60.1%
P2
52.7%
59.2%
P3
46.2%
56.6%
OT
53.8%
57.7%
Final 5 min
41.7%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.1%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2013 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 10:01 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 02:29 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |