Derek MacKenzie vs Patrice Bergeron
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.8% vs Bergeron 56.8% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 60.1%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 77.7%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 60.9%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
MacKenzie
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
MacKenzie
Bergeron
Last 5: MacKenzie 2-3 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
MacKenzie
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (438)
58.4% (972)
-2.7%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
53.4% (221)
+26.6%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (162)
56.0% (175)
-14.6%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. MacKenzie is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (265).
MacKenzie shoots left. Bergeron is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Bergeron
Home
51.3% (312)
59.0% (712)
Away
52.9% (293)
55.5% (656)
By Period
MacKenzie
Bergeron
P1
50.5%
59.1%
P2
48.8%
60.2%
P3
57.4%
53.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 13:21 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |