Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.2% vs Bergeron 56.8% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 85.6%
Defensive zone
Strome 82.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 83.2%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Strome
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Strome
Bergeron
Last 6: Strome 1-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Strome
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Strome
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (195)
58.4% (972)
-16.9%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
53.4% (221)
+4.5%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Strome is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Strome shoots left. Bergeron is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Home / Away
Strome
Bergeron
Home
46.6% (73)
59.0% (712)
Away
41.1% (141)
55.5% (656)
By Period
Strome
Bergeron
P1
40.3%
59.1%
P2
48.6%
60.2%
P3
40.0%
53.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
43.0%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |