Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +27.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Hughes wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-27.3%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 94.2%
Defensive zone
Hughes 89.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 93.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 92.7%
92.7%
7.3%
Hughes
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Hughes
Bergeron
Last 10: Hughes 2-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hughes
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
4
Hughes
Bergeron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
7
Hughes
Bergeron
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
63.8% (1,102)
-29.3%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
65.3% (288)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
47.6% (210)
-22.6%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Hughes is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Hughes shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Hughes
Bergeron
Home
32.6% (187)
62.5% (882)
Away
36.7% (166)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Hughes
Bergeron
P1
33.9%
62.5%
P2
34.2%
62.7%
P3
36.5%
60.6%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
29.7%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 13:45 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 03:05 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 04:47 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 02:53 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |