Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +25.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-25.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 88.3%
Defensive zone
Hughes 64.1%
Neutral zone
Hughes 88.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Hughes
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Hughes
Bergeron
Last 6: Hughes 1-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
4
Hughes
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
62.5% (1,109)
-27.6%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
62.2% (352)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
53.5% (245)
-20.2%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Hughes shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Hughes
Bergeron
Home
37.4% (235)
61.9% (917)
Away
33.2% (229)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Hughes
Bergeron
P1
37.1%
60.8%
P2
33.7%
60.3%
P3
34.8%
63.0%
OT
100.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
32.7%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 04:34 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |