Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +22.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McCann wins 37.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 37.1% vs Bergeron 56.8% (-22.4%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 92.6%
Defensive zone
McCann 87.6%
Neutral zone
McCann 92.8%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 91.0%
91.0%
9.0%
McCann
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
12
(14 meetings)
2
12
McCann
Bergeron
Last 10: McCann 1-9 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
McCann
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
5
McCann
Bergeron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
6
McCann
Bergeron
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (506)
57.0% (1,376)
-21.6%
Power Play
15.4% (13)
62.8% (323)
-47.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
51.3% (279)
-51.3%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. McCann is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (177).
McCann shoots left. Bergeron is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,343).
Home / Away
McCann
Bergeron
Home
30.3% (221)
59.1% (986)
Away
37.9% (301)
55.1% (992)
By Period
McCann
Bergeron
P1
35.9%
55.5%
P2
31.1%
58.0%
P3
37.1%
57.9%
OT
40.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
27.0%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
34.7%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 00:44 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 18:23 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 11:22 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 07:37 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 14:15 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 02:07 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |