Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +18.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCann wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs Bergeron 61.3% (-18.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 65.4%
Defensive zone
McCann 64.8%
Neutral zone
McCann 72.0%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
McCann
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McCann
Bergeron
Last 6: McCann 2-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
McCann
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
McCann
Bergeron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (106)
60.7% (760)
-17.3%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
70.9% (230)
-28.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
57.3% (157)
-7.3%
On power play, Bergeron has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. McCann is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (77).
McCann shoots left. Bergeron is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
McCann
Bergeron
Home
43.3% (60)
64.4% (567)
Away
43.5% (69)
60.2% (580)
By Period
McCann
Bergeron
P1
42.5%
63.8%
P2
40.4%
58.6%
P3
48.7%
63.9%
OT
33.3%
76.5%
Final 5 min
51.7%
63.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
43.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 11:14 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Jared McCann |